Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.439058 0.519839 0.609938 0.717682 0.842819 0.983366 1.152972
2024-12-22 0.305105 0.404930 0.528174 0.690712 0.898541 1.154397 1.492157
2024-12-29 0.245529 0.354740 0.500057 0.705863 0.987826 1.358265 1.879028
2025-01-05 0.205057 0.318101 0.478186 0.718614 1.067073 1.549528 2.262752
2025-01-12 0.170316 0.281634 0.448292 0.711938 1.113381 1.695150 2.593388
2025-01-19 0.144666 0.253555 0.425000 0.709192 1.161402 1.843773 2.938411
2025-01-26 0.130438 0.240836 0.422629 0.736680 1.256094 2.067998 3.414357
2025-02-02 0.127673 0.246618 0.450217 0.814628 1.437538 2.440771 4.151656
2025-02-09 0.116983 0.236526 0.449286 0.843852 1.540822 2.697087 4.724195
2025-02-16 0.102067 0.216159 0.427378 0.833317 1.574301 2.840346 5.121484
2025-02-23 0.087071 0.193146 0.397376 0.803989 1.570569 2.918684 5.413379
2025-03-02 0.073399 0.170506 0.364878 0.765568 1.545286 2.955647 5.634071
2025-03-09 0.068800 0.166595 0.369281 0.800276 1.662849 3.262327 6.369953
2025-03-16 0.058796 0.149241 0.344215 0.773528 1.660151 3.350351 6.718362
2025-03-23 0.053975 0.142780 0.340908 0.790579 1.744791 3.607640 7.401019
2025-03-30 0.049482 0.136302 0.336597 0.804756 1.824607 3.861737 8.097198
2025-04-06 0.044009 0.126417 0.323225 0.797343 1.858257 4.027442 8.633717
2025-04-13 0.039501 0.118180 0.312464 0.794294 1.900505 4.213185 9.223712
2025-04-20 0.037443 0.116102 0.316098 0.824817 2.019087 4.564380 10.175161
2025-04-27 0.038499 0.122804 0.342156 0.911327 2.271052 5.212857 11.785753
2025-05-04 0.036580 0.120717 0.345762 0.943744 2.402273 5.614597 12.907373
2025-05-11 0.032784 0.112437 0.332231 0.932059 2.429505 5.793798 13.568449
2025-05-18 0.028559 0.102026 0.311526 0.899524 2.403587 5.853564 13.974826